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<h2><span class="">Dijon vs Red Star Prediction: Match Preview</span></h2>
<p class="ds-markdown-paragraph"><span class="">Dijon welcome Red Star to the Stade Gaston-Gérard on Friday evening for a Ligue 2 fixture that pits a side quietly rebuilding its promotion push against one in the midst of a defensive collapse. The hosts sit eighth with 20 points from eleven matches, having won 3-1 at Grenoble last time out, while the Audoniens are sixth with 22 points but arrive on the back of three consecutive defeats—against Saint-Étienne, Montpellier, and Nancy—conceding seven goals in the process. The historical record offers Dijon a psychological edge: </span><strong><span class="">they have won two of the four previous meetings</span></strong><span class="">, with Red Star winning one and one draw, and the most recent encounter in April 2024 ended in a 2-0 Dijon victory at Stade Gaston-Gérard.</span><!--more--></p>
<h2><span class="">Match Information ð</span></h2>
<p class="ds-markdown-paragraph"><strong><span class="">Match:</span></strong><span class=""> Dijon FCO vs Red Star FC</span><br />
<strong><span class="">Competition:</span></strong><span class=""> France: Ligue 2 &#8211; Round 12</span><br />
<strong><span class="">Date:</span></strong><span class=""> Friday, 6 November 2026</span><br />
<strong><span class="">Kick-off:</span></strong><span class=""> 19:00 GMT (20:00 CET)</span><br />
<strong><span class="">Venue:</span></strong><span class=""> Stade Gaston-Gérard, Dijon</span><br />
<strong><span class="">Our Prediction:</span></strong><span class=""> Dijon 2-1 Red Star</span></p>
<h2><span class="">Head-to-Head Record ð</span></h2>
<p class="ds-markdown-paragraph"><span class="">Dijon hold the edge across four competitive meetings, with two wins to Red Star&#8217;s one and a single draw. At the Stade Gaston-Gérard, Dijon have won one and drawn one of their two home encounters with the Audoniens, including a 3-1 victory in November 2023. The most recent meeting ended 2-0 to Dijon in April 2024, a result that contributed to Red Star&#8217;s promotion push faltering.</span></p>
<h2><span class="">Dijon Form ðµ</span></h2>
<p class="ds-markdown-paragraph"><strong><span class="">Last 5:</span></strong><span class=""> W-L-L-W-D</span></p>
<p class="ds-markdown-paragraph"><span class="">Dijon&#8217;s season has been defined by inconsistency, particularly at home. The 3-1 victory at Grenoble was a timely return to form, but Baptiste Ridira&#8217;s side have </span><strong><span class="">lost three of their five home matches</span></strong><span class=""> this season, including a 1-2 defeat to Rodez in their most recent outing at Gaston-Gérard. </span><strong><span class="">Dijon average 1.82 goals per game</span></strong><span class="">, but they concede 1.73, and their </span><strong><span class="">xG of 1.69 per match</span></strong><span class=""> suggests they create enough chances to win more games than they have. </span><strong><span class="">Quentin Bernard returns to the squad</span></strong><span class=""> after his thigh injury, though he is expected to start on the bench, with the Diouf-Lacroix partnership continuing in central defence.</span></p>
<p class="ds-markdown-paragraph"><strong><span class="">Team News:</span></strong><span class=""> </span><strong><span class="">Tom Meynadier, César Obongo, Ben-Chayeel Hamada, and Michaël Barreto remain unavailable</span></strong><span class=""> through injury. The probable XI features </span><strong><span class="">Delecroix in goal</span></strong><span class="">, with </span><strong><span class="">Marié captaining the side</span></strong><span class=""> from midfield and </span><strong><span class="">Tavares and Lago leading the line</span></strong><span class="">.</span></p>
<h2><span class="">Red Star Form âª</span></h2>
<p class="ds-markdown-paragraph"><strong><span class="">Last 5:</span></strong><span class=""> L-L-L-W-L</span></p>
<p class="ds-markdown-paragraph"><span class="">Red Star&#8217;s season has unravelled spectacularly after a promising start. The 4-1 humiliation at home to Nancy was their third consecutive defeat, and all three losses have come against the division&#8217;s top three—Saint-Étienne, Montpellier, and Nancy. </span><strong><span class="">The Audoniens have conceded seven goals in those three matches</span></strong><span class="">, exposing defensive frailties that Damien Perrinelle must address. </span><strong><span class="">Red Star average just 0.75 goals scored per game</span></strong><span class=""> across their last four fixtures, and their </span><strong><span class="">xG of 1.5 per match</span></strong><span class=""> suggests the attacking output has been below expectations.</span></p>
<p class="ds-markdown-paragraph"><strong><span class="">Team News:</span></strong><span class=""> Red Star have no reported fresh injury concerns, with Perrinelle expected to retain the core that has served him. </span><strong><span class="">Jonathan Ikanga, the former Dijon forward, will be desperate to impress against his old club</span></strong><span class="">.</span></p>
<h2><span class="">Team News &; Predicted Lineups ð°</span></h2>
<h3><span class="">Dijon Predicted Lineup (4-2-3-1)</span></h3>
<p class="ds-markdown-paragraph"><span class="">Delecroix; Faty, Lacroix, Diouf, Bouleghcha; Marié, Ndezi; Bellon, Lembezat; Tavares, Lago</span></p>
<p class="ds-markdown-paragraph"><span class="">Ridira is expected to retain the XI that won at Grenoble, with </span><strong><span class="">Bernard providing cover from the bench</span></strong><span class="">. </span><strong><span class="">Marié anchors midfield</span></strong><span class="">, with Lembezat providing creativity behind Tavares and Lago.</span></p>
<h3><span class="">Red Star Predicted Lineup (4-2-3-1)</span></h3>
<p class="ds-markdown-paragraph"><span class="">Beunardeau; Butelle, Mendy, Dieng, Doucouré; Ndoye, Camara; Ikanga, Durand, Cissé; Benali</span></p>
<p class="ds-markdown-paragraph"><span class="">Perrinelle faces a selection dilemma after three defeats, with </span><strong><span class="">Ikanga leading the line against his former club</span></strong><span class="">. </span><strong><span class="">Durand provides the creative spark</span></strong><span class=""> from midfield.</span></p>
<h2><span class="">xG &; Tactical Analysis ð</span></h2>
<p class="ds-markdown-paragraph"><span class="">The statistical models give </span><strong><span class="">Dijon a 49.8% win probability</span></strong><span class="">, with the draw at 21.8% and Red Star at just 28.4%. The expected goals figures project </span><strong><span class="">Dijon 1.45, Red Star 1.97</span></strong><span class="">, though the visitors&#8217; recent defensive collapse makes that attacking projection questionable. The most likely scoreline according to APWin is </span><strong><span class="">2-1 to Dijon</span></strong><span class="">, with both teams to score priced at 80% probability.</span></p>
<p class="ds-markdown-paragraph"><span class="">The key battle will be </span><strong><span class="">Dijon&#8217;s home attacking output against Red Star&#8217;s fragile confidence</span></strong><span class="">. The Audoniens have conceded in each of their last three matches, and their away form is patchy. However, Dijon&#8217;s own home record is a concern—three defeats in five—and their tendency to concede at Gaston-Gérard offers Red Star a route back into the contest.</span></p>
<h2><span class="">Betting Analysis ð°</span></h2>
<p class="ds-markdown-paragraph"><span class="">Dijon are marginal favourites at </span><strong><span class="">2.56</span></strong><span class="">, with Red Star at </span><strong><span class="">2.65</span></strong><span class=""> and the draw at </span><strong><span class="">3.10</span></strong><span class="">. </span><strong><span class="">Both Teams to Score</span></strong><span class=""> is the standout angle given Dijon&#8217;s home defensive record and Red Star&#8217;s need for a response. </span><strong><span class="">Dijon to win</span></strong><span class=""> offers the safest value, with the hosts&#8217; superior xG and Red Star&#8217;s three-match losing streak tilting the balance.</span></p>
<h2><span class="">Final Prediction ð</span></h2>
<p class="ds-markdown-paragraph"><strong><span class="">Dijon 2-1 Red Star</span></strong></p>
<p class="ds-markdown-paragraph"><span class="">This is a fixture where Dijon&#8217;s momentum and home advantage collide with Red Star&#8217;s desperation to halt a three-match slide. The hosts have won two of the four previous meetings and arrive on the back of a morale-boosting victory at Grenoble. Red Star, by contrast, have lost three straight against the division&#8217;s top three, and their defensive record during that run is alarming.</span></p>
<p class="ds-markdown-paragraph"><span class="">Red Star will not go quietly. Ikanga&#8217;s motivation against his former club is genuine, and the Audoniens possess enough quality to punish Dijon&#8217;s home vulnerabilities. But the gulf in current form and confidence, combined with Dijon&#8217;s historical edge in this fixture, should carry the hosts through.</span></p>
<p class="ds-markdown-paragraph"><strong><span class="">Prediction: Dijon 2-1 Red Star.</span></strong><span class=""> Tavares opens the scoring for the hosts, Ikanga equalises against his former club, and Lago seals the points in the second half as Dijon climb above Red Star in the table and extend the Audoniens&#8217; losing streak to four.</span></p>
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