Jordan vs Syria Prediction: Can the Nashama Finally End Their Five-Match Losing Streak? 🏆

Jordan vs Syria: A New Era Begins at King Abdullah II Stadium 🏟️

Introduction: The Nashama Seek Redemption in Amman 🌟

The King Abdullah II Stadium in Amman prepares for an international friendly as Jordan welcome Syria on Sunday, 27 September 2026. This fixture offers the Nashama a golden opportunity to end a chastening five-match losing streak that has stretched across their World Cup campaign and beyond. 🔥

Jordan enter the match under new management, with Badou Zaki having taken charge following the departure of Jamal Sellami. The Moroccan coach is using these friendlies as preparation for the 2027 AFCON finals, where Jordan have been drawn alongside Uzbekistan, Bahrain, and North Korea. Syria, by contrast, arrive in Amman with renewed optimism following the return of veteran striker Omar Al-Soma after a two-year absence.

Head-to-Head Record: Jordan’s Complete Dominance 📋

The historical record between these two sides makes for comfortable reading for the home supporters. Across seven recorded meetings, Jordan have won four, Syria have won two, and one has ended in a draw.

More significantly, Jordan have won the last two meetings—a 2-0 victory in September 2022 and a 1-0 triumph in November 2020. In their most recent encounter, Jordan recorded an xG of 1.03 compared to Syria’s 0.99, reflecting a tightly contested affair. The aggregate goal tally across all meetings stands at 8-5 in Jordan’s favour.

Team Form and Momentum 📈

Jordan: Seeking to End the Rot 🔵

Badou Zaki’s side enter the match in concerning form. Their five-match losing run includes defeats to Algeria, Argentina, and Austria at the World Cup, where they conceded three goals in each of their final two group fixtures. The defensive frailties exposed on the global stage are a significant concern.

However, Zaki has assembled a 29-man squad mixing experience with youth. Mousa Al-Tamari, Jordan’s star winger who contributed seven goals and eleven assists for Rennes last season, leads the attack alongside Ali Olwan and Yazan Al-Naimat. The midfield features Nizar Al-Rashdan and Noor Al-Rawabdeh, while Ehsan Haddad provides experience at right-back.

Jordan’s xG data from recent matches averages 1.83 goals scored, but they have conceded 1.22 per game, with clean sheets in only 30% of fixtures. The hosts have failed to score in 17% of their matches, highlighting attacking inconsistencies.

Predicted Jordan XI (3-4-2-1): Abu Laila; Nasib, Al-Arab, Al-Ajalin; Haddad, Al-Rashdan, Al-Rawabdeh, Abu Taha; Al-Tamari, Al-Mardi; Olwan. ⭐

Syria: Al-Soma’s Return Sparks Belief ⚪

Syria arrive in Amman with a renewed sense of purpose following Omar Al-Soma’s return to the national team after a two-year absence due to administrative issues. The 37-year-old striker, who has 22 goals in 41 international appearances, returned to the Syrian league with Al-Wahda Damascus this season after a 15-year professional journey that included eight prolific years at Al-Ahli Saudi, where he scored 193 goals in 239 matches.

However, Syria face significant absentee concerns. Omar Khribin, the striker who plays for Al-Wahda in the UAE, has withdrawn from the squad for personal reasons, depriving Jose Lana’s side of a key attacking option. The squad still includes 17 foreign-based players, with Aiham Ousou and Ahmad Faqa providing defensive solidity.

Syria’s recent form is concerning: they have won just 29% of their last seven matches, averaging 1.43 goals scored and 2.29 conceded. Their 0-4 friendly defeat to Belarus in June highlighted defensive vulnerabilities that Jordan will look to exploit.

Predicted Syria XI (4-2-3-1): Madanieh; Faqa, Ousou, Krouma, Ajan; Ham, Elias; Al-Aswad, Hesar, Ramadan; Al-Soma. 😰

Tactical Analysis and Expected Goals 📊

The tactical battle is defined by Jordan’s need to rediscover their attacking rhythm against a Syrian side galvanised by Al-Soma’s return. Statistical models give Jordan a 75% win probability, with the Draw No Bet market heavily favouring the hosts.

The expected goals data reveals an intriguing contrast. Jordan average 1.83 goals per game with an xG of 1.59, while Syria manage 1.43 goals per game with an xG of 1.39. However, Syria’s defensive record of 2.29 goals conceded per game is significantly worse than Jordan’s 1.22, suggesting the hosts will create chances.

Both teams to score has occurred in 57% of Jordan’s matches but only 29% of Syria’s, reflecting the visitors’ attacking struggles. The Under 2.5 goals market is favoured, with 4 of the last 5 meetings between these sides producing a maximum of two goals.

The key battle will be Jordan’s attacking trio of Al-Tamari, Olwan, and Al-Naimat against a Syrian defence that has conceded heavily. Al-Soma’s presence at the other end provides Syria with a genuine goal threat, but his lack of match sharpness after two years away could limit his impact.

Conclusion and Final Prediction 🏁

This fixture presents a significant opportunity for Badou Zaki to begin his Jordan tenure with a victory against familiar opponents. The hosts’ overwhelming head-to-head record, superior attacking quality through Al-Tamari, and Syria’s defensive frailties make them clear favourites.

Syria’s motivation through Al-Soma’s return and Jordan’s own poor form offer genuine hope for the visitors, but the Nashama’s quality and home advantage should prove decisive. Zaki will demand a response from his players after their World Cup disappointments, and the King Abdullah II Stadium crowd will expect nothing less than victory.

Expect Jordan to control possession and create chances, with their attacking superiority eventually telling.

Prediction: Jordan 2-0 Syria. Goals from Mousa Al-Tamari and Ali Olwan should secure a comfortable victory for the hosts. Syria’s winless run against Jordan will continue, leaving them still searching for their first victory over the Nashama since 2019. 💥⚽